The Origins of COVID-19

Date: May 5, 2020

Classification: Unclassified

Branch/Agency: NCSB

Issue:

Recent media reports have suggested that the Five Eyes allies (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) disagree on the origins of COVID-19, in particular with regards to public claims by the U.S. that the pandemic is the result of a laboratory accident in Wuhan, China.

Proposed Response:

Background:

On May 4, 2020, two articles were published in Foreign Policy and the Guardian, respectively, that cited disagreement amongst the Five Eyes allies on the origins of COVID-19.  The Foreign Policy article noted that Australia, Canada, and the U.K. have not supported U.S. claims that COVID-19 originated at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.  The article quotes Prime Minister Trudeau that it is “still too early to draw conclusions”, and U.K. Prime Minister Johnson that finding answers “will need to be done with all our international partners, including China.”  For its part, the Guardian article refers to a 15-page document published by the Australian Daily Telegraph, which claimed to be drafted by “concerned Western governments” that supported the laboratory accident; however, the article revealed that this document was unofficial and culled from open sources.  Indeed, it should be noted that with respect to Australia, Prime Minister Morrison has openly pushed for an international inquiry into the issue, which in turn has received sharp rebukes from Beijing.  New Zealand has remained quiet on the issue.

In Canada, both Minister Hajdu and Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Tam have been asked by the media about the origins of COVID-19, with both responding that those questions have not yet been answered.  The Prime Minister has publicly stated that no consensus amongst the Five Eyes on the origins of COVID-19 has been reached; while some media may interpret this as a disagreement amongst allies, it more likely reflects a common need for more thorough investigation and analysis on the issue in the coming months.

Contacts:

Prepared by: Justin Chan, Acting Manager, National Security Policy Directorate, 343-542-8465

Approved by: Dominic Rochon, Senior Assistant Deputy Minister, National and Cyber Security Branch, 613-990-4976

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